the fourth future vision development of optoelectronics industry toward further growth by evolutionary technologies and progressive developments in an advancing borderless society optoelectronic technology association november 2004 contents 1 background purpose 2 philosophy process 3 summary relation between social trends forecast global market size estimates domestic production volume mid long term factors prospects proposing strategy for promoting since foundation 1980 three visions have been developed to provide guidelines relevant third was 1995 explosive popularization cellular phones bursting it bubble economy came out with such circumstances mind intended develop be positive inspiring this time