1 rieti discussion paper series 02 e 009 july 2002 the rise of china and asia s flying geese pattern economic development an empirical analysis based on us import statistics c h kwan abstract although manufactured goods have come to make up bulk fast expanding exports country competitiveness still lies in low value added products reflecting this chinese do not directly compete with japanese rather they complement each other export structure also lags behind newly industrializing economies nies major members association southeast asian nations asean a comparison trade structures among we find that are broadly line their respective levels short there is no evidence showing formation has been disrupted by emergence even growing it product sector far only japan but countries clear division labor between former specializing high latter