new products what will be different in the next 10 years joe bates director market research consumer electronics association tech ade washington dc nov 6 2006 agenda about cea industry overview how we got here past is future crystal ball presentation url contact info note all figures are estimates 2007 and beyond projected more than 2 100 members top 20 trade represents entire range of technologies 140 billion annual us sales 250 studies mara data forecasting program library economic insights shipment revenue billions 98 4 105 116 3 128 0 149 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006e 2007p 9 7 ce growth pre 1990 commercial radio 1920 television 1928 vcr 1970 personal computer 1970s portable music player 1979 camcorder 1981 cd cell phone 1983 digital audio technology satellite tv 1994 dvd 1996 high definition 1998 video recorder 1999 2000 microsoft xbox 2001 plasma home media server recording terrestrial