economic research service usda food and agricultural commodity consumption in the united states aer 820 11 projections of 2000 2020 first step forecasting is to project values exogenous social demographic variables that affect projected some are reported table 4 other not assumed remain constant at mean sample data 1994 96 1998 csfii these were used future eating out diet health knowledge then all forecast translation database was convert we real household income would grow by 1 percent annually between using 98 this growth level conservative compared with an observed average increase 8 per year during 1978 88 2 1988