doe eia 0607 96 distribution category uc 950 issues in midterm analysis and forecasting 1996 august energy information administration office of integrated us department washington dc 20585 this report was prepared by the independent statistical analytical agency within contained herein should not be construed as advocating or reflecting any policy position other organization 1996ii preface presents a series five papers which cover topics modeling that underlie annual outlook aeo96 0383 published january national forecasts production demand imports prices through year 2015 includes markets for cases reference case four additional assume higher lower economic growth world oil than are generated using s system nems included intended to