list of tables 2 charts 4 summary 5 chapter 1 introduction 8 the modelling process 10 3 energy price industry share and gdp assumptions 15 projections final demand 22 electricity supply 32 6 primary 45 7 co so emission 48 sensitivity analysis on emissions 59 annex a end user 65 b by fuel 68 c ipcc 70 d generation type 76 e including land use change effects 77 f policy in core scenarios 78 g esi capacity 79 h 81 i main comments working paper 83 glossary 86 1contents contents table possible low central high growth rate 16 output sector 2010 18 crude oil 19 road air transport petroleum water other ara coal 20