the human resource leapfrog model and us economic leadership richard b freeman cfr roundtable oct 31 2005 three propositions i share of s&e graduates falling must continue to fall job market makes careers less attractive than foreign born reliance on students & immigrants iii populous low income countries can compete in high tech china has become massive presence diminished comparative advantage create adjustment problems for proposition 1 world population 6 college 1970 30 2000 14 phds 1975 40 2010 15 92c 26 2010a 0 72bchinese diaspora vs stayers estimate 62c1 541 220 93all eu 070 840 64eu major fr germ uk 290 160 11japan 490 320 05nachina 960 480 22asia nations 2003a200119891975 a 2003 ratios calculated using doctorates at 2001 production level includes estimates chinese doctoral from japan with temporary visas include citizens permanent residents c data extrapolated earlier years sources science engineering indicators 2004 nsf primary
