assessing the suitability of input output analysis for enhancing our understanding potential effects peak oil christian kerschner universidad autonoma de barcelona institut ciència i tecnologia ambientals klaus hubacek university leeds sustainable research institute objective study economic impacts resource supply constraints precondition development policies to prepare ourselfs such event coinsiding with combat climate change determine if io is a suitable tool models natural desasters katarina accidents risks review existing variations traditional leontief model test candidates covering both quantity dimension price extensive application introduction and gas imminent absolute relative scarcity low entropy matter energy absolutely scarce eg daly 1992 cuba s periodo especial soviet union imports 50 need developing adaptations in world production maximum 3 factors maturing wells discovery consumption source aleklett 2006 why fairly detailed description economy direct indirect ripple straightforward methodology assumptions availability empirical data ease science 1989 it can reduce steadily widening gap between factual observation