draft d smg asa_meeting_2004 spring files industrialng doc page 0 of 59 natural gas prices and industrial sector responses an experimental module for stifs prepared asa committee on energy statistics meeting april 22 2004 washington dc by frederick l joutz associate professor department economics the george university 20052 202 994 4899 e mail bmark gwu edu dave costello office markets end use emeu information administration us 586 1468 eia doe gov abstract short term integrated forecasting system generates monthly forecasts demand supply using some forecast that is incorporated into generated other models do not run in framework with this includes macroeconomic projections certain variables there no direct feedback between components members team can attempt to coordinate iterations two however desirable main reasons first it suffers from specification problems richness complexity dynamic interactions because directly estimated second
