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In recent two years, as the electric power industry is developing rapidly, there also sprung up risks about policies and laws. We initiated to organize research staff from the Development Research Center of the State Council (DRC) and others to jointly make this report which gives an in-depth analysis of risks about policies and laws in the electric power industry and at the same time studies the potential risks in fields such as financial affairs, markets, relevant industries and others of the electric power industry. We used the quantitative method to predict the indicators on the output capacity, economic benefits as well as the import&export of the industry. From all accounts, we evaluated the risks in the electric power industry on the whole and offered corresponding solutions.

Chapter one: Studies on political risks of the electric power industry
1.1 Political prospect for the electric power industry
1.1.1 Political orientation of the energy industry during the Eleventh Five-Year plan
1.1.2 Development orientation of the electric power industry
1.1.3 Higher political requirements for thermal power
1.1.4 Great opportunities in the development of clean energy
1.1.5 The break-off of monopoly
1.2 Political prospect for the development of nuclear power industry
1.2.1Acceleration of nuclear power engineering & construction of China
1.2.2 Prospect of the nuclear power market in China
1.2.3 Analysis of policies for international cooperation
1.2.4 Analysis of cooperation for nuclear power informatization
1.2.5 Internal standardized administration on nuclear power of electric power plants
1.2.6 Options of tax policies for nuclear power industry development
1.2.7 Nuclear power industry development and sustainable development policies
1.2.8 Other economic policies for the development of the nuclear power industry
1.2.9 Reform of the administrative system
1.3 Political prospect for windpower construction and risk analysis
1.3.1 Gradual industrialization of windpower
1.3.2 Deficiency of production capacity shows great potentials and opportunities
1.3.3 Great political support for the domestic windpower equipment manufacturing
1.3.4 Policies issued by the State Development and Reform Commission for promoting windpower development
1.4 Political prospect for hydropower development
1.4.1China being the top worldwide in hydro-power resources
1.4.2 China will accelerate the development of hydro-power
1.4.3 Prospect of the installed capacity of hydropower
1.5 Political trend of new energy
1.5.1 New-energy electricity generation and the Renewable Energy law
1.5.2 New-energy electricity generation and the pricing mechanism
1.5.3 New-energy electricity generation and grid access
1.6 New regulations for the dispatch management of East-China power system
1.6.1 Operational analysis
1.6.2 Analysis on grid-connected management and demand management
1.6.3 The Black Start Plan being into the regulations
1.6.4 The standardized dispatch management
1.7 Comment on China’s first regional Electricity Anti-theft Law


Chapter Two: Risk study on relevant laws& regulations of the electric power industry
2.1 Prospect of China’s Energy Law
2.2 Analysis on the Renewable Energy Law and the electric power industry

Chapter Three: Financial indicators analysis
3.1 Comprehensive risk appraisal
3.2 Operational analysis
3.2.1National and regional sales revenue growth analysis
3.2.2 National and regional assets growth analysis
3.2.3 National and regional sales profit ratio analysis
3.2.4 National and regional assets turnover rate analysis
3.3 Asset quality analysis
3.3.1 National and regional asset liability ratio analysis
3.3.2 National and regional capital maintenance&appreciation ratio analysis
3.3.3 National and regional net assets earning ratio analysis
3.3.4 National and regional accounts receivable turnover analysis
3.3.5 National and regional current assets turnover analysis
3.3.6 National and regional capital into the finished goods analysis

Chapter Four: Market competition analysis
4.1 Analysis on the development trend of electricity generation
4.1.1 Moderate demand and supply on the whole
4.1.2 Analysis on regional demand and supply
4.2 Forecast of the electric power price
4.2.1 Review of electricity prices
4.2.2 Analysis on factors that influence the electric power price
4.3 Relatively moderate market risks for electricity supply plants
4.4 Analysis on star-up significance of regional electric power markets
4.4.1 The decreasing electricity cost for end users
4.4.2 Great influence of thermal power
4.4.3 The positive influence of hydro-power
4.5 Introduction to key electric power plants
4.5.1 Electric power grid groups
4.5.2 Electric power generation groups
4.5.3 Electric power engineering projects and related enterprises

Chapter Five: Risks of relevant industries
5.1 Forecast of total demand for electric power in 2006
5.1.1 Forecast of total demand for electric power
5.1.2 Forecast of electric power demand by region
5.2 Demand forecast of downstream industries in 2006
5.2.1 The iron&steel industry
5.2.2 Non-ferrous metal industry
5.2.3 The building materials industry
5.2.4 The machinery industry
5.2.5 The chemical industry
5.2.6 Other industries
5.3 Risks of raw materials supply in 2006
5.3.1 Analysis on coal supply risks
5.3.2 Analysis on coal and electricity price trends

Chapter Six: Development environments and risks of industrial elements
6.1 Operational risks of the macro-economy in 2006
6.2 Grid construction facing serious problems
6.3 Increasing credit risks and financial cost

Chapter Seven: General description of the risks in the electric power industry and corresponding solutions
7.1 Comprehensive risk appraisal
7.1.1 Pricing mechanism calling for the reform urgently
7.1.2 Still great demand of electric power
7.1.3 Despite alleviated demand&supply pressure, still possible deficiency
7.1.4 Excessive investment into the electric power construction
7.1.5 The coal&electricity linkage scheme drives the industrial profit
7.2 Investment strategies in 2006
7.2.1 Investment opportunities to grip and equipment manufacturing enterprises
7.2.2 Large-scale electricity generation groups benefit from regulation of Pay as Bid
7.2.3 Electricity-saving projects being the investment hotspot
7.2.4 Renewable-energy electric power being the new focus
7.3 Solutions for credit risks of the electric power industry



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Selected figures and tables
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The cost structure of the electric power industry
Cost fluctuations of the electric power industry
Comparison among cost, sales revenue and profit of the electric power industry
The demand for electric power in each month of 2005
Electric power consumption distribution for industrial use in 2005
Residential electricity consumption distribution from1990-2005
Average utilized hours of electricity generation equipment per year in 2005
Average utilized hours of electricity generation equipment per quarter in 2005
Average utilized hours of electricity generation equipment per month in different regions during Jan to Sep
The highest grid load record per month in different regions from Jan to Sep
The grid load rate per month in different regions during Jan to Sep
Coal price trends
Industrial trends of iron and steel
Industrial trends of electrolytic aluminum
Industrial trends of non-ferrous metal
Industrial trends of cement
Industrial trends of machinery manufacturing
Industrial trends of chemical raw materials and products
Monthly demand forecast in 2006
Electric power consumption by the industrial use in 2006
Comparison of electric power demand growth in different regions
The maximum load & monthly load rate of Northeast China Grid during Jan to Sep of 2005
The maximum load & monthly load rate of Northwest China Grid during Jan to Sep of 2005
Economic indicators of state-owned enterprises
Economic indicators of collectively-owned enterprises
Economic indicators of foreign invested enterprises
Basic financial indices of state-owned enterprises
Basic financial indices of collectively-owned enterprises
Basic financial indices of foreign invested enterprises