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| Production D'énergie > Etude de marché sectorielle |
| Growing Energy Demand in India and China |
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€ 318,00 |
Editeur
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Energy Business reports |
Langue
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Anglais |
Date de publication : |
Octobre 2007 |
Taille du document : |
117 |
Autres informations : |
Description , Table des matières |
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| Présentation de l'étude de marché - Description & Table des matières |
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| Growing Energy Demand in India and China |
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With more than 1 billion people each, China and India have experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades – on an unprecedented scale in economic history – credited to their policies of reform and economic openness. Moving gradually from state-planned agricultural economies into global manufacturing and services powerhouses has helped China and India reduce poverty. The strong expansion of the Chinese and Indian economies over the last decade leaves no doubt about their impact globally.
After economic reforms, when India entered the global energy market, it encountered an important competitor, the People’s Republic of China (PRC), one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, and a rising military power with a vast appetite for oil and other raw materials—and the financial resources to satisfy that appetite. China is already well ahead of India in the search for new energy sources. Since 2000, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has invested United States Dollars (USD) $45 billion in this search, while India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) has invested just USD $3.5 billion. The vast foreign-exchange reserves available to China’s state-owned oil firms have enabled them to undercut India’s efforts to obtain oil beds. Furthermore, as recent events underscore, the Sino-Indian competition for new energy sources in Central Asia is well underway.
China and India are the world’s leading energy consumers, having very similar patterns of energy mix, with a high reliance on coal. Both economies are also heavily dependent on foreign oil. However, China’s biomass consumption is about 50% of that of India. In India, there are focused programs for promoting renewable energy. At present, renewable energy comprises about 5% of the energy mix. These include programs for the rural sector, solar energy, power generation, and so on. The Ministry of Non-Conventional Energy Sources (MNES) has set a goal of installing 10% of additional power generation capacity in the country through grid-connected renewable power by 2012.
With a population of over 2.5 billion and booming economic growth, China and India are going to play an increasingly important role in global economic matters and energy markets. Both of these countries are heavily dependent on oil, mostly due to the advance of the transportation sector in the developing countries of the region. Though China and India are rich in coal reserves, the quality of coal is not good and there are restrictions on coal use due to environmental considerations. In terms of oil production developments, these two neighbors suffer from natural depletion and lack of investment in the exploration and production sectors. China has the largest oil reserves in the region, but Chinese production capacity has seen very limited growth. The heavy dependence on oil from the Middle East has led to these countries paying premium for a long time. Growing energy demand in the region could also heighten competition for imports in the regional market. Regional geopolitical and external production challenges can also exert pressures on future energy supplies in these Asian giants.
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Executive Summary 6 Global Energy Market 7 Current Demand and Supply 7 Future Energy Outlook 10 Issues Concerning Energy Markets 11 Global Warming and Climate Change 11 Supply Shortfall of Oil 12 Rising Oil Prices 13 Energy Security 13 Role of China and India 14 China’s Energy Industry 17 Economic Overview 17 Role of Energy in the Chinese Economy 18 Historical Background 18 Structure of Chinese Energy Industry 20 China’s Energy Production and Consumption 21 Energy Reserves in China 23 Export and Imports Scenario 24 Future of China’s Energy 24 China’s Market Segments 27 Coal 27 Oil 28 Natural Gas 30 Nuclear Power 31 Electricity 33 Renewable Energy 34 Factors Affecting China’s Energy Industry 36 Growth Drivers 36 Population Growth and Urbanization 36 Growth Spurred by Industrial Growth 36 Economic Reforms in China 37 Petroleum Consumption in Transportation 37 Barriers and Challenges 38 Global Rise in Oil Prices 38 Growing Pollution 39 Insecurities in the Oil Imports 40 Shortage of Energy Supply 40 International Clash of Interests with United States 41 Competition in the Market 41 Role of the Government 42 India’s Energy Industry 44 Economic Overview 44 Role of Energy in Indian Economy 45 Historical Background 46 Structure of India’s Energy Industry 47 Indian Energy Production and Consumption 48 Energy Reserves in India 50 Export and Imports Scenario 51 Key Energy Segments in India 54 Coal 54 Oil and Gas 56 Electricity 58 Nuclear Power 59 Renewable Energy 60 Factors Affecting Indian Energy Industry 64 Market Drivers 64 Rising Population and Economic Growth 64 Renewable Energy Resources Development 64 Emergence of the Retail Gas User 64 Growth in City Gas Projects 65 Refined Fuel Subsidies 65 Barriers and Challenges 65 Coal Depletion and Pollution 65 Rising Oil Imports 66 Inefficient Electric Systems 66 Natural Gas Demands 66 Absence of Regulatory Framework in Upstream Industry 66 Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Pricing Structure 66 Limited Nuclear Energy 67 Socio-Political Influences 67 Competition in the Market 67 Government’s Participation 68 R&D and Foreign Participation 72 R&D in China’s Energy Industry 72 Coal Sector 72 Oil Sector 72 Natural Gas Sector 73 Nuclear Power 73 R&D in Indian Energy Industry 74 Clean Coal Technologies 76 Refurbishment of Existing Thermal Power Stations 77 FDI in Indian Energy Industry 77 Profiles of Major Players 79 Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) 79 China Coal Import and Export Group (ChinaCoal) 80 China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) 82 China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) 83 Coal India Limited (CIL) 84 Gail India (GAIL) 86 Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) 87 Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. (IOC) 88 Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) 89 PetroChina Company Limited (PetroChina) 91 Reliance Energy Limited (REL) 92 Sinochem 93 Sinopec 94 China International United Petroleum & Chemicals Co. Ltd. (UNIPEC) 95 Appendix 97 Glossary 104
List of Figures Figure 1: World Energy Consumption 7 Figure 2: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type 8 Figure 3: World Proven Oil Reserves 9 Figure 4: World Natural Gas Reserves 10 Figure 5: Forecast - World Energy Consumption 11 Figure 6: World Oil Production versus World Oil Discoveries (billion bbl/year) 12 Figure 7: Oil Prices – NYMEX Light Sweet 13 Figure 8: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth in Emerging Economies 15 Figure 9: China and India's Share of Global Energy Consumption 16 Figure 10: China’s Average Annual Real GDP Growth 17 Figure 11: China's Energy Consumption 22 Figure 12: China’s Energy Consumption by Fuel Type 23 Figure 13: China’s Energy Consumption Growth (2001-2020) 25 Figure 14: Energy Outlook for China 26 Figure 15: China Coal Production and Consumption 27 Figure 16: Coal Demand in China by Sector 28 Figure 17: China Oil Production and Consumption 29 Figure 18: Nuclear Power Consumption in China 32 Figure 19: Electricity Generation in China 33 Figure 20: China Electricity Demand by Sector 34 Figure 21: Industry Output as a Share of GDP 37 Figure 22: Transportation Growth in China 38 Figure 23: Per Capita Energy Consumption 46 Figure 24: India's Energy Consumption 49 Figure 25: India's Energy consumption by Fuel Type 50 Figure 26: Coal Reserves in India. 54 Figure 27: India's Coal Production and Consumption 55 Figure 28: India’s Oil Production and Consumption 56 Figure 29: India’s Natural Gas Production and Consumption 57 Figure 30: Growth in India’s Installed Generating Capacity 59 Figure 31: Installed Capacity of Wind Power in India 61 Figure 32: Solar Energy Production in India 62 Figure 33: Global Oil Demand 97 Figure 34: Map of Global Oil Demand 97 Figure 35: Global CO2 Emissions 98 Figure 36: Existing and Proposed Gas Lines in China and India 98 Figure 37: Map of Natural Gas Infrastructure in India 99 Figure 38: Vehicle Penetration in Leading Economies as an Income Function (Projections to 2030) 100 Figure 39: Electricity Prices for Households (USD $ per kWh - 2005) 100
List of Tables Table 1: China's Proven Energy Reserves 24 Table 2: Forecast of China’s Energy Consumption by Fuel 26 Table 3: Nuclear Power Reactors Operating in China 32 Table 4: Fossil-fuel-related CO2 Emissions in China 39 Table 5: India’s Macro Economic Indicators 44 Table 6: Estimated Energy Reserves of India 50 Table 7: World’s Largest Oil and Gas Producers by Output (2005) 101 Table 8: Coal Reserves in India 102 Table 9: Common Energy Units 102 Table 10: Common Conversions 103
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