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Demand to grow more than 5% annually through 2011

US demand for automotive diagnostic equipment, software, services and data will rise 5.4% per year to $1.3 billion in 2011. Despite the vehicle-quality-driven slowdown experienced in overall aftermarket parts and service sales in the US, diagnostic equipment demand should remain healthy for a number of reasons. Perhaps most importantly, demand for these products is driven by the expanding role played by electronic systems in automobiles -- these systems should comprise over 45% of total vehicle value by 2016; up significantly from the 15% they represented in 2000. As a result, light vehicle electronic content and system sophistication levels continue to climb, opening new market space for more advanced diagnostic equipment.

Industry shifts spur demand

Two ongoing shifts within the diagnostic equipment industry will affect future market demand. The first involves the transition from highly expensive shop-owned “big box” devices toward techni­cian-owned handheld systems. Today, rather than rely on the shop’s big box analyzer, more technicians are purchasing their own scanners and other electronic tools, which has supported demand for these tools. Another trend involves the shift away from a primary focus on hard-ware to the rising influence of software. Some diagnostic equipment makers see software becoming the dominant source of value for the industry in the future, as hardware becomes more commodity-like in nature. In fact, the introduction of less-expensive PC/Windows-based operating systems opens the door to a commoditi­zation of hardware, with software be-coming the most valuable aspect of the business. This trend is already visible in annual data updates offered by equipment makers, and could signal a significant shift in the industry’s strategic focus.

An industry in flux

Two conflicting trends will continue to influence the automotive diagnostic equipment industry. First, vehicle systems themselves continue to boost their capa-bilities to take on more of the diagnostic challenge (e.g., second generation onboard diagnostic -- OBD II -- systems, airbag monitoring systems and vehicle “black boxes”). Second, diagnostic equipment increasingly features intelli­gent systems that can lead technicians through diagnostic cycles. These trends are likely to continue, with the first to an extent reducing the need for intensive shop-level diagnostic procedures while the second provides new opportunities for companies to provide additional value to the repair industry. In fact, as hardware performance reaches the necessary thresholds to support advanced artificial intelligence systems, the dominance of software in the value chain is expected to become preeminent. This trend toward “smart tools” is being driven in part by the continued shortfall in the number of highly trained automotive technicians in the industry.

Study coverage

The Automotive Diagnostic Equipment Market Report presents historical demand data (1996, 2001 and 2006) plus forecasts for 2011 and 2016 by product and service performer. The study also details market environment factors, evaluates market share and profiles 32 industry players.

photo courtesy of Delphi Technologies

ExecutiveSummary


MarketEnvironment

General
Macroeconomic Environment
Light Vehicle Supply & Demand Dynamics Automotive Industry Trends
Light Vehicle OEMs
Light Vehicle Park
Legal & Regulatory Trends
Air Quality
Fuel Efficiency
Global Warming
Aftermarket Access to Diagnostic Information
Pricing Trends
Technology Trends
Foreign Trade & International Issues


MARKET & COMPETITIVE ASSESSMENT

General
Light Vehicle Service Diagnostic Trends
On-Board Diagnostic System II
CAN & Other Vehicle
Communication Systems
Market Assessment
Quality Improvement
Light Vehicle Technology Trends
Vehicle Electronics Evolution
Competitive Assessment


AUTOMOTIVE AFTERMARKET TRENDS

General
Light Vehicle Technology Trends
Light Vehicle Service Diagnostic Trends
On-Board Diagnostic Systems I, II & III
CAN & Other Vehicle
Communication Systems
Diagnostic-Intensive Aftermarket
Products Demand
Electrical Products Aftermarket
Electronic Products Aftermarket


DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCTS

General
Diagnostic Equipment
Engine Analyzers & Oscilloscopes
Engine Analyzers
Oscilloscopes
Gas Analyzers
Scan Tools
Multimeters
Charging, Starting & Battery
Diagnostic Equipment
Other Electronic Diagnostic Equipment
Diagnostic Software, Services & Data
Published Repair & Diagnostic Data
Diagnostic Software
Remote Diagnostic Services


DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCT DEMAND BY SERVICE PERFORMER

General
Professional
Garages & Service Stations
Automobile Dealerships
Specialists
Others
Consumer/DIY


INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

General
Industry Composition & Market Share
Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring
Product Development & Manufacturing
Marketing
Distribution
Financial Issues & Requirements
Strategic Partnerships

Company Profiles