US demand to approach $41 billion in 2012



Demand for corrugated and paperboard boxes is expected to rise 2.5% annually through 2012 to nearly $41 billion, with gains driven by an increase in manufacturing activity in both nondurable and durable goods. In addition, advances will be bolstered by the increasing importance of higher-value boxes offering improved printing and graphics capabilities as producers seek ways to boost the aesthetic appeal of boxes in the face of competition from alternative packaging. While boxes with more sophisticated graphics are typically more prevalent in the folding carton segment, changes in the retail landscape, including the popularity of warehouse club stores, have also prompted corrugated box makers to develop boxes that serve as attractive billboards.



Corrugated, solid fiber boxes to grow most rapidly



Corrugated and solid fiber boxes, which accounted for more than 70% of demand in 2007, will register the fastest growth based on their well-entrenched position as low-cost shipping containers in virtually all manufacturing sectors. Growth will also stem from the good environmental profile of corrugated boxes, which will become increasingly advantageous as interest in sustainable packaging continues to rise. In addition, value gains will be supported by rising demand for boxes utilizing more expensive white top linerboard grades that can accommodate high-quality printing. Folding paperboard box demand wlll rise slower than corrugated box growth as folding cartons face heightened competition in many markets from alternative packaging such as pouches. In addition, a sharp deceleration in beverage shipments -- a major folding carton market -- will restrain demand. Demand for set-up boxes will primarily be driven by surging low-cost imports, as the labor intensive nature of such containers makes them more amenable to production in countries like China, which have substantially lower labor costs than the US.



Food and beverage market will remain dominant



Food and beverages will remain the dominant market for boxes, accounting for more than 40% of corrugated and paperboard box demand in 2012. Strong growth will be registered in such large markets as beverages, fresh produce and bakery items. Other nondurable goods markets offering good prospects for boxes are pharmaceuticals, cosmetics and toiletries, and rubber and plastic products. In durable goods markets, good growth prospects will be in music, entertainment and software products; medical and other instruments; stone, clay and glass items; and motor vehicle parts. Box growth in nonmanufacturing markets such as retail shipping and carry-out foodservice will be aided by further popularity of Internet shopping and quick-service restaurants.



Study coverage



It presents historical demand data (1997, 2002, 2007) as well as forecasts for 2012 and 2017 for boxes by type and market. In addition, the study evaluates company market shares and profiles 27 industry competitors.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION x

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4
General 4
Macroeconomic Outlook 5
Demographic & Household Trends 10
Age Distribution Patterns 11
Household Formation 13
Consumer Income & Spending 13
Retail Sales 15
Manufacturing 18
Durable Goods 20
Nondurable Goods 21
Packaging Industry Trends 22
Competitive Packaging Materials 25
Environmental Image 28
Aesthetics 29
Historical Market Trends 30
Pricing Trends & Product Mix 34
Paperboard Pricing Trends 36
Environmental & Regulatory Issues 38
World Markets 40
Foreign Trade 41

III. MATERIALS 44
General 44
Supply & Demand 45
Unbleached Kraft Board 47
Linerboard 48
Boxboard 50
Recycled Board 51
Semichemical Board 55
Bleached Kraft Board 57
Paperboard Consumption in Boxes 59
Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 61
Folding Paperboard Boxes 64
Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 66
Other Materials Consumption in Boxes 68
Adhesives 69
Inks 70
Waxes 72

IV. PRODUCTS 75
General 75
Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 78
Products 80
Capacity 82
Constructions 84
Strength Requirements 86
Mini-Flute Corrugated Boxes 88
High-Quality Printing 91
Markets 93
Folding Paperboard Boxes 96
Products 98
Windowed Paperboard Boxes 101
Printing & Design 103
Markets 105
Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 109

V. MARKETS 114
General 114
Food & Beverages 117
Food & Beverage Industry Outlook 117
Box Demand 119
Meat, Poultry & Seafood 121
Beverages 125
Grain Mill Products 128
Fresh Produce 130
Canned Food 134
Frozen Food 135
Bakery Products 137
Dairy Products 139
Candy & Confections 141
Other Food 143
Box Types 144
Nonfood Nondurable Goods 147
Paper & Publishing 148
Paper & Publishing Outlook 148
Box Demand 150
Chemical & Pharmaceutical Products 152
Chemical & Pharmaceutical Industry Outlook 153
Box Demand 156
Pharmaceuticals 158
Cosmetics & Toiletries 162
Cleaning Chemicals 165
Other Chemical Products 167
Other Nondurable Goods 169
Rubber & Plastic Products 171
Textiles & Apparel 173
Tobacco 174
All Other Nondurables 175
Durable Goods 177
Machinery & Equipment 178
Machinery & Equipment Outlook 179
Box Demand 180
Fabricated Metal Products 182
Fabricated Metal Products Outlook 183
Box Demand 184
Other Durable Goods 186
Stone, Clay & Glass Products 188
Furniture, Lumber & Wood Products 189
Motor Vehicle Parts 190
Toys & Sporting Goods 191
Music, Entertainment & Software 193
Silverware & Jewelry 194
Instruments & All Other Durables 195
Nonmanufacturing 196
Foodservice & Carry-Out 198
Retail Shipping 199
Moving, Storage & Other 200

VI. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 202
General 202
Market Share 206
Smurfit-Stone 207
International Paper 208
Weyerhaeuser 209
Temple-Inland 210
Georgia-Pacific 210
Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 211
Folding Paperboard Boxes 212
Graphic Packaging 214
Rock-Tenn 215
Altivity Packaging 215
MeadWestvaco 216
International Paper 217
Acquisitions & Divestitures 218
Manufacturing 223
Marketing 224
Distribution Strategies 226
Cooperative Agreements 227
Competitive Strategies 230
Regional Dynamics 232

Company Profiles 234

Ace Packaging, see International Paper
AGI Media, see MeadWestvaco
AGI/Klearfold, see MeadWestvaco
Alliance Display, see Rock-Tenn
Altivity Packaging LLC 235
Boise Cascade Holdings LLC 237
Boise Incorporated 238
Caraustar Industries Incorporated 239
Cascades Incorporated 243
Cin-Made Packaging Group, see Sonoco Products
Color-Box, see Koch Industries
Cortegra Group, see Menasha
Creative Press, see Menasha
Dopaco, see Cascades
Field Container, see Altivity Packaging
Fold-Pak, see Rock-Tenn
Georgia-Pacific, see Koch Industries
Graphic Packaging Corporation 248
Green Bay Packaging Incorporated 250
Greif Incorporated 252
GSD Packaging, see Rock-Tenn
International Paper Company 253
Interstate Container, see Interstate Resources
Interstate Paper, see Interstate Resources
Interstate Resources Incorporated 257
Koch Industries Incorporated 259
Longview Fibre Company 262
MeadWestvaco Corporation 264
Menasha Corporation 269
Multi-Wall Packaging Corporation 271
New Jersey Packaging, see Menasha
Newark Group Incorporated 272
Norampac, see Cascades
Packaging Corporation of America 273
Pohlig Brothers, see Southern Container
Potlatch Corporation 275
Pratt Industries, see Visy Industries
Premier Boxboard, see Caraustar Industries and
Temple-Inland
Rock-Tenn Company 276
RTS Packaging, see Rock-Tenn and Sonoco Products
Schiffenhaus Industries, see Southern Container
Shorewood Packaging, see International Paper
Simkins Industries Incorporated 281
Smurfit-Stone Container Corporation 282
Solvay Paperboard, see Southern Container
Sonoco Products Company 286
Southern Container Corporation 288
Specialized Packaging Group Incorporated 290
Temple-Inland Incorporated 291
Tri-Wall, see Weyerhaeuser Company
United Corrstack, see Interstate Resources
US Corrugated Incorporated 293
Visy Industries Incorporated 294
Weyerhaeuser Company 296
Other Companies Mentioned in Study 300


LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table 3

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Macroeconomic Indicators 9
2 Population & Households 11
3 Personal Income & Expenditures 15
4 Retail Sales 18
5 Manufacturers’ Shipments 19
6 Packaging Supply & Demand 25
7 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market, 1997-2007 33
8 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Pricing 36
9 Foreign Trade in Corrugated & Paperboard Boxes 43

SECTION III -- MATERIALS
1 Paperboard Supply & Demand by Type 47
2 Unbleached Kraft Board Supply & Demand 48
3 Recycled Board Supply & Demand 54
4 Semichemical Board Supply & Demand 56
5 Bleached Kraft Board Supply & Demand 59
6 Paperboard Consumption in Boxes by Grade & Box Type 60
7 Paperboard Consumption in Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes
by Material & Grade 63
8 Paperboard Consumption in Folding Paperboard Boxes 66
9 Paperboard Consumption in Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 67
10 Other Materials Consumption in Corrugated &
Paperboard Boxes 68

SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS
1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 77
2 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Supply & Demand 80
3 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Production by Construction 85
4 Mini-Flute Corrugated Box Shipments 90
5 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Demand by Market 95
6 Folding Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 98
7 Windowed Paperboard Box Shipments by Market 103
8 Folding Paperboard Box Demand by Market 108
9 Set-Up Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 112

SECTION V -- MARKETS
1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Markets 116
2 Food & Beverage Shipments 119
3 Food & Beverage Box Market 120
4 Meat, Poultry & Seafood Box Market 125
5 Beverage Box Market 128
6 Grain Mill Product Box Market 130
7 Fresh Produce Box Market 133
8 Canned Food Box Market 135
9 Frozen Food Box Market 137
10 Bakery Product Box Market 139
11 Dairy Product Box Market 141
12 Candy & Confection Box Market 143
13 Other Food Box Market 144
14 Food & Beverage Box Demand by Type 146
15 Nonfood Nondurable Goods Box Market 147
16 Paper & Publishing Shipments 150
17 Paper & Publishing Box Market 152
18 Chemical & Pharmaceutical Shipments 156
19 Chemical & Pharmaceutical Box Demand by Market & Type 158
20 Pharmaceutical Box Market 162
21 Cosmetic & Toiletry Box Market 165
22 Cleaning Chemical Box Market 167
23 Other Chemical Products Box Market 169
24 Other Nondurable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 171
25 Durable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 178
26 Machinery & Equipment Shipments 180
27 Machinery & Equipment Box Market 182
28 Selected Fabricated Metal Product Shipments 184
29 Metal Product Box Market 186
30 Other Durable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 188
31 Nonmanufacturing Box Demand by Market & Type 197

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 US Corrugated & Paperboard Box Sales by Company, 2007 204
2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 220
3 Selected Cooperative Agreements 229


LIST OF CHARTS


SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market, 1997-2007 33
2 Paperboard Pricing, 1997-2007 37

SECTION III -- MATERIALS
1 Paperboard Consumption in Boxes, 2007 61

SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS
1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Shipments by Type, 1997-2017 78
2 Corrugated Capacity, Year-End 2007 84
3 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Demand by Market, 2007 95
4 Folding Paperboard Box Demand by Market, 2007 108
5 Set-Up Paperboard Box Demand by Market, 2007 113

SECTION V -- MARKETS
1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Markets, 2007 116

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 US Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market Share, 2007 207
2 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Market Share, 2007 212
3 Folding Paperboard Box Market Share, 2007 214